By E. W.
Lang
Barrel Cheese ended the week at $1.59 per lb., up
a half cent over four trading days. Blocks lost five cents to end out at $1.77.
Butter lost four cents to close at $1.75 per lb. Non-Fat Dry Milk and Whey
traded even with Friday, last.
Class III Milk Futures for the next year are
running from $16.56 to $17.55 per cwt. Class IV is looking a little tough right
now as March and April are both at $15.75 per cwt., both are at contract lows
and both are off of the $18 highs of September, 2018. Well, that's discouraging.
Class IV is less of a factor in all-milk price here in the mid-west. Its a much
larger component in California, since more of their milk ends up in the butter
churn.
Most milk and cash grain producers should have
received a final 2019 government subsidy in the last couple weeks. The Market
Facilitation Payment is to adjust for international trade lost these last three
years. Today there was an announcement that another round may be on the
way...Called it.
As I mentioned a few weeks ago, Wisconsin, Michigan
and Pennsylvania hold dearly needed electoral votes, so government-to-farm
largesse is in order as the November election draws near. MFP Crop and Diary USDA Subsidies can be
issued by decree, and without congressional action, so it's auction time for
the farm vote. "Ladies and Gentlemen, do I hear a full round of 2020 MFP
payments in October? Thank you, now vote early, and vote often..."
These MFP subsidies have found their way to all
parts of agriculture. Banks are getting interest that's past due. Realtors are
getting calls for farm land, and most land is finding a buyer in 30 days or
less. Farm prices here in Iowa are running $100 to $110 per tillable point of
CSR2, so that's a lot of farms from $7,000 to $10,000 per tillable acre.
Top land parcel over the last couple weeks at
auction was a 40, almost all tillable with an 86 CSR2, at $15,100 per acre. I
suspect two or more neighboring land owners who have wanted this for years were
the final bidders. The whole 'coveting thy neighbor's ass' thing comes to mind
in cases like these.
Farm equipment maker Deere and Co., the green
tractor people, reported some unexpected, pleasing results on their most recent
earnings call. I'm reminded of the general farm recession during the 1980s when
new John Deere tractors sat so long that they had to be taken from the factory
lot and repainted before going to dealers. It was also in those days that
interest rates at retail were 11 to 15 percent, two and three times current
loan rates.
Speaking of banking, March 1 is approaching. For
decades that was when farm payments were due and farm leases were up. Some farm
families relocated and some called the auctioneer.
If you are a farm borrower and haven't been to
see your lender in a while, do so, and do so with the following in mind.
Remember that your lender doesn't want to sell you out, as that's a money loser
for the bank. He or she wants you to succeed, make interest payments, and be an
asset to society and of long term value to the bank as a customer.
Accurately and completely provide all
lender-requested information, and remember that lying by omission is still in
direct violation of one of the commandments.
If you feel the need to lie, lie to your lawyer,
accountant, your preacher, doctor, or the judge at state fair. They are used to
it and are adept at regularly dealing with false witness in all its forms. Just
don't lie to your banker as they always know it right away, and it puts you on
the short list to jettison as soon as your loan becomes a bad risk, or they
just feel like doing so.