By E. W.
Lang
Block cheese gained 17 cents per cwt. this week
while barrels gained eight. Butter lost
six cents. Milk-Feed Indices are up
$1.30 per cwt. for the week, owing to lower grain prices and higher Class III
Milk Futures for the rest of this year.
The upswing in cheese price is due to recent,
increased exports. During May, exports
from the United States were 19% higher than April and just a little under under
April of 2018, the all-time high month for dairy solids exports from the U.S.
to foreign buyers, largely China then and now.
Milk price in China right now is something close to $30 per cwt., and
they are building industrial dairies at a fast rate. It's unfortunate that they just can't count
on us as an ever dependable trading partner, because they can buy cheese here
cheaper than they can make it there, mostly.
U.S. farmers often blame international trade for
their own financial lot in life. A
common, foreign enemy is a comfortable, anonymous target, and a lot of
Americans are clueless as toward what free trade can do and doesn't do,
particularly for and to the least of us.
Twenty-one years ago, I hosted here the
Vietnamese Ambassador to the United States, who was most eager to buy anything
farm or food. We all know someone, or
the parents of someone, who didn't come home alive from Vietnam in the 1960s
and 1970s. I can see two of their graves
from my mail box. Yes, that war was a
tragedy of inconceivable proportions.
That said, free trade with a real, perceived or former enemy can advance
peace over time, in part by efficiently redistributing goods and services. This
improves the economic lot of all lives, though in a rather cruel, free-market
manner.
I should note here that our free-trade model may
actually be the most cruel and inhumane economic model in the history of the
world, except for every other market system that has ever been attempted by
human kind.
And now for something completely different. California milk producers have voted by a
wide margin to keep their quota system.
That whole quota thing is a little bit of a secret aberration here in
the U. S. It is also just opposite of
the way California farmers have operated in the last 100 years, leading the
nation in scalable, industrial food production.
Still, milk price out there is largely a function of butter values, thus
pretty miserable, so I'm not surprised by the vote.
Average of Class III Futures for the rest of this
year is $17.60 per cwt., up 33 cents for the week. Class IV Milk Futures average $16.10 per cwt.
for July to December, down 50 cents since Friday, last. For reference, July Class III was $24 per
cwt a year ago, Class IV was $14 per cwt.
Interest rates decreased a little this week, and
land prices continue to increase. An 80
acre parcel in Iowa sold for $12,400 per acre a couple weeks ago, after an
auction buyer rejected it in November after bidding $8150 per acre. It was the exact same parcel, same auction
company, same terms and manner of sale, but an increase of 52% in value over
six months.