By E. W.
Lang
Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) commodity prices were
announced by USDA this week. Enrolled
herds are eligible for $9 per cwt. and higher coverage.
On the theme of dairy subsidies, beneficiaries of
the current DMC program, the previous Margin Protection Program (MPP) and the
Milk Income Loss Contract (MILC) program, that started nearly 20 years ago,
will lose an advocate in D.C. Sen.
Patrick Leahy of Vermont has announced his retirement. Sen. Leahy has been a supporter of government
milk price supports and subsidies since 1975, serving many years on the Senate
Ag Committee.
Sen. Leahy's retirement is rather an
Ecclesiastical Ageing of Aquarius. Vermont
is a cultural outlier, as they have a socialist member of Congress in Bernie
Sanders. Vermont residents generally
don't care for outsiders, but their state remains a haven for long haired folks
that listen to vinyl records, smoke marijuana cigarettes, and can still
remember how to do the peace sign. They
also have a lot of cows on pasture that once supplied Ben and Jerry's Ice
Cream, until Ben and Jerry went native and cashed out.
Brandon, Vermont, where the Ayrshire Breeders'
Ass'n was once located, had the last remaining, live, local telephone operator
in the United States. There had
apparently been no need to update the local telephone technology after Korea,
so reported Charles Kuralt, On the Road sometime in the late 90s.
Block cheese was steady this week at $1.86 per
lb. Barrels were up eight cents at $1.60
and Butter closed out at $2 per lb. for the third time this year.
Class III Milk Future prices for all of 2022
currently average $18.98 per cwt. That's
a gain of ten cents since last week.
Class IV for 2022 is up two bits to average $19.50 per cwt.
Nitrogen fertilizer, in all its forms, is trading
at record prices. November saw anhydrous
ammonia increase by 33%. UAN32 was up
26%. Urea was up 16%. Phosphorous and Potash were up 6% and
5%. Most crop inputs and energy needs
can be booked several months out and this - over a lifetime - mitigates
significant risk. Most years the farmer
comes out even or better, and from time to time will save significant money.
Forward contracting feed, feed inputs, energy or
milk price acts to generally cut off the tops and bottoms of market
fluctuations and only does so when consistantly practiced over years. To sell or buy en masse when there seems to be an aberration in price
is a speculative move. This can result
in an occasional great profit or significant loss. But again, it's speculative and not an action
to mitigate risk and enhance the long-time viability of a commodity production
enterprise, which are all farms.